In what can only be described as something that is a long time coming, longtime Oregon conservative activist (and complete A-hole) Bill Sizemore was jailed today after being found in contempt of court for the fourth time. The specific incident this time was Sizemore's failure to file federal and state reporting forms required for organizations he controls to maintain their tax exempt status.
Cross-Posted from Loaded Orygun: http://www.loadedorygun.net/showDiary.do ?diaryId=1513
The genesis for this title is a Willamette Week article titled "Red Dawn" published in July of 2006 which claimed, at the time, to show evidence of a Republican surge in the Beaver State. It goes without saying that those predictions were dead wrong as the Democratic party has more than tripled its registration edge in my home state and seems poised to post strong wins statewide. Below are my final summary predictions and some things to watch Thursday.
Cross-Posted from Loaded Orygun: http://www.loadedorygun.net/showDiary.do ?diaryId=1455
With a week to go, it is time for me to really make some predictions about where the races will go this fall. I will update them on November 4 but if I had to guess, what is below is what I think will happen. The real question for Democrats, in summary, will be not will they increase their majority but by how much.
Cross-Posted from Loaded Orygun: http://www.loadedorygun.net/showDiary.do ?diaryId=1440
The following is the updated version of a FAQ guide I published before OR's primary in May talking about how Oregon's Vote by Mail system works. In addition, I have added information on how to interpret Oregon's results on election night.
Cross-Posted from Daily Kos: http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/10/20 /12923/777/307/636329
The latest in my postings on Oregon politics is a discussion of how I intend to vote when I get my ballot on Friday or Saturday. I am posting this now both to foster discussion and because, especially on the ballot measures, I am willing to listen to arguments on whether I am wrong to think about voting the way I intend to.
Cross-Posted from Loaded Orygun: http://www.loadedorygun.net/showDiary.do ?diaryId=1411
The following is my update of the races that will be contested next month in the state of Oregon. My projections will be updated probably one more time shortly before election day. I do not work for any campaign and my projections are my own.
Cross-Posted from Loaded Orygun: http://loadedorygun.net/showDiary.do?dia ryId=1395
The following is my analysis of the latest numbers put out by Survey USA. I am choosing to analyze this both because I want to explain to folks what is going on but also because SUSA does provide crosstabs, making analysis easier. This is NOT just another poll diary.
Cross-Posted from Loaded Orygun: http://www.loadedorygun.net/showDiary.do ?diaryId=1364
I had not planned to publish another Oregon political news roundup but a few stories in today's news cry out for me to make them known to the blogosphere. They are:
1. Matt Wingard's troubles deepen-The State Legislative candidate's (R) child abuse issues may be worse than previously thought.
Cross-posted from Loaded Orygun: http://www.loadedorygun.net/showDiary.do ?diaryId=1360
· WI-08: Wingnut plans to run as "conservative independent" (desmoinesdem)
· 50 percent of southerners say Obama better president than Bush (desmoinesdem)
· What Yesterday Says About Young Voters (Mike Connery)
· Max Blumenthal on the dysfunctional movement driving the GOP (Mike Connery)
· IA-Gov: Culver launches second tv ad (desmoinesdem)
· Hilarious Vid On Why We Must Vote No On Issue 2!! (Cliff Schecter)
· NY-23: Scozzafava Drops Out! (lipris)
· NY-23: Pataki Goes Rogue, Endorses Teabagger Darling Doug Hoffman (lipris)
· Dunne Considering Run For VT-Gov (Nathan Empsall)
· McGovern Grandson Looks to Challenge Thune in 2010 (Jonathan Singer)
· IA-03: Two potential challengers for Boswell (desmoinesdem)
· NJ-Gov: Daggett Goes After Christie and Corzine (Jonathan Singer)
